Arkiv for 1. april 2012

Walter Laqueur om Det Arabiske Forår

EU og Det Arabiske Forår var og er ren ønsketænkning. Laqueur er 91 år gammel:

The Perils of Wishful Thinking: On Europe and the Middle East

March/April 2012 – Walter Laqueur

World Affairs Logo MediumForecasting political events is always risky because chance plays such a decisive role in what becomes history. Given its inherent weaknesses, the breakdown of the Soviet Union, for instance, may have been inevitable. But if instead of Mikhail Gorbachev, appointed as General Secretary of the Communist Party as a sort of accident in 1985, a hard-liner had been chosen by the Politburo and if he and like-minded comrades had managed to hold onto power for another twenty years, what would we have witnessed? As the price of oil went up exponentially (from two dollars a barrel to as much as one hundred and fifty), the Soviet economy would have prospered, the empire would not have fallen apart, and the wisdom of the Communist Party and its leaders who brought about these gigantic achievements would have been praised.

However, if there are no certainties in world politics, there remain probabilities that can be ignored only at great peril. In the case of the troubled European Union and the darkening Arab Spring, it is highly probable that, from the beginning, the optimism of even expert journalists, academics, and diplomats was misplaced, and that the odds against European progress toward a united and prosperous continent, and Arab progress toward liberty, peace, and democracy, were very heavy indeed. Why were these heavy odds ignored?

Mere HER i World Affairs Journal. Samme sted skriver Laqueur om Den Kolde Krig. Et tilbageblik:

Andre kilder: Wikipedia,

Video & artikler: Francis Fukuyama, Robert Kagan, Walter Russell Mead, Steve Paikin, Gideon Rose

Fukuyama er stadig venstresnoet, men det har været værre. Fra TVO 26. marts 2012:

America: The Land of the Future?

Once hailed as the land of the future. The leader of the Western World. Today’s America looks like it has lost its edge. Is the United States in terminal decline, or will it remain an indispensable power? Robert Kagan, Francis Fukuyama and Walter Russell Mead answer the question: Is the United States declining as a global power?

Foreign Affairs LIVE: The Future of History with Francis Fukuyama

On March 22, Foreign Affairs Editor Gideon Rose led a conversation with renowned political scientist and author Francis Fukuyama on themes from his decades of research and writing, and the conclusions he drew in a recent contribution to Foreign Affairs, The Future of History.

Watch them discuss the history and future of liberal democracy and the factors–from technology and biomedicine to popular uprisings in the East and socioeconomic disparity–that will determine the arc of humanity.

Spiegel Interview with Francis Fukuyama

February 1, 2012

‘Where Is the Uprising from the Left?’

Political scientist Francis Fukuyama was once the darling of American neo-conservatives. In a Spiegel interview, the author of “The End of History” explains why he now believes that the excesses of capitalism are a threat to democracy and asks why there is no “Tea Party on the left.”

Spiegel: Professor Fukuyama, you are best known for your essay “The End of History,” in which you declared that, after the demise of the Soviet Union, liberal democracy had emerged as the triumphant global model. Now, your latest research claims that the flaws of capitalism and globalization could endanger this democratic model. How do you explain this shift?

Fukuyama: Capitalism is the wrong word to use here, because there is not a viable alternative to capitalism. What we are really talking about is just economic growth and the development of modern economic societies. A combination of factors is beginning to challenge their progress in the United States. We have had a lot of technological change that substituted for low-skill labor and made many people in Western democracies lose their jobs.

Mere HER i Der Spiegel. Mangler arabere værdighed og respekt? De kunne jo starte med at respektere kvinder, kristne og andre grupper, der lider under islam. Problemet er dem selv:

The Drive for Dignity

It’s hard power that often makes the headlines. But never underestimate the strength of the simple desire for respect.

By Francis Fukuyama  | January 12, 2012

The legend now has it that the Arab Spring was kicked off in early 2011 when a Tunisian vegetable seller, Mohamed Bouazizi, had his fruit cart confiscated by the police. Slapped and insulted by a policewoman, he went to complain but was repeatedly ignored. His despairing response — to set himself on fire — struck an enormous chord across the Arab world.

What was it about this act that provoked such a response? The basic issue was one of dignity, or the lack thereof, the feeling of worth or self-esteem that all of us seek. But dignity is not felt unless it is recognized by other people; it is an inherently social and, indeed, political phenomenon. The Tunisian police were treating Bouazizi as a nonperson, someone not worthy of the basic courtesy of a reply or explanation when the government took away his modest means of livelihood. It was what Ralph Ellison described as the situation of a black man in early 20th-century America, an Invisible Man not seen as a full human being by white people.

Mere HER i Foreign Policy. I en af videoerne refereres der til det berømte essay af Francis Fukuyama fra 1989. Det kan læses i sin helhed hos Wes Jones:

Andre kilder: The American Interest, The American Interest, The American Interest, The American Interest, The Huffington Post, The Huffington Post, Time Magazine, The Blogmocracy, The Spectator,

Video: Michael Coren & Mark Steyn – igen, igen

Fra Sun News 31. marts 2012:

Michael Coren with Mark Steyn

Mark Steyn joins Michael Coren to discuss Trayvon Martin, the Toulouse Terrorist, Justin Trudeau vs Patrick Brazeau, Human Achievement Day, and, of course, Burkina Faso.

Et lille interview:

Q&A: Mark Steyn

by Phil Morgan on March 29, 2012

commentator Mark Steyn is awfully concerned about America’s future. He’s Hillsdale’s Eugene Pulliam Visiting Fellow in Journalism and will be teaching a two-week class “How to Write a Column.” He shared his thoughts on how much of a weirdo Rick Santorum is, what’s wrong with the Hunger Games, and why there is nothing like a good game of polo with a goat’s head.

PM: In a piece you wrote on Rick Santorum called “Weird Politics” you describe him as weird because he has traditional values. Are people who are traditional really considered weird today?

MS: It was interesting. Anytime I went into an ABC show all the people said, “How can Rick Santorum be a credible presidential candidate? He’s so weird.” Then I actually asked what’s weird about him. He’s weird because he believes marriage is between a man and a woman. He’s weird because the family is the basic building block of society. In fact, it was non-weird for almost all of human history. What’s interesting to me is not Santorum’s weirdness, but the fact that so much of what he says is now presumed to be weird. I think he’s right on the basic issue, which is that the crisis America faces is not primarily an accounting problem or a bookkeeping problem. We’re broke for a reason. This country is the most broke nation in history because it is not the republic of limited government and self-reliant citizenry De Tocqueville observed two centuries ago. So he’s right in the extent that the [financial] brokenness is a symptom of the problem not the problem and in that sense I don’t find Santorum half as weird as 90 percent of his critics.

Mere HER i The Hillsdale Collegian. Omtalte artikel er denne i National Review Online:

Andre kilder: Orange County RegisterOrange County Register, Investor’s Business Daily, Investor’s Business Daily, MarketWatch, Hugh Hewitt, The Spectator, The Daily Caller, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, National Review Online, Wikipedia,


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